智库报告索引 · 7月17日—8月1日

7月31日

Beyond the Rome Talks: Pilot Zones, Hezbollah, and Rebuilding State Authority in South Lebanon

7月31日

The United States Accelerating Memory Chip Crunch: Implications for Tech and AI Leadership

7月31日

Russias Cap on Partner Aid: Institutional Rigidity and the Limits of External Support

7月31日

A Global Forced Labor Import Regime Is Emerging-Can It Work?

7月31日

Six Reasons Why the United States Is Low on Munitions

7月30日

Autonomy and Affordable Mass in Latin America and the Caribbean

7月30日

A Far-Right Breakthrough? Germanys AfD on the Brink of State-Level Governance

7月30日

The Kyndryl-Solvinity Case: A Barometer for Investment Security Reviews

7月29日

What the CMMC Pause Means for the Defense Industrial Base

7月29日

Blurred Orbits: Inside Chinas Commercial Space Expansion

7月22日

Understanding President Trumps New Tariffs on Canadian Imports

7月21日

Elbows Up: The Price of Economic Coercion Against Canada

7月20日

Americas Unproven Productivity Boom, and the Cost of Misreading the Data

卡内基国际和平基金会28 篇

7月31日

Build, Not Buy: The Semiconductor Lesson that Indian AI Experts Must Learn

Carnegie IndiaBuild, Not Buy: The Semiconductor Lesson that Indian AI Experts Must LearnAs AI grows more sophisticated, as the supply chains that power it become more contested, and as access to frontier models becomes geopolitically charged, India must begin to ask a different set of questions. Not

7月30日

Generative AI and Atrocity Denial in War

In the fog of modern war, generative AI offers every side a simple transaction: Trade documented reality for permanent doubt.

7月30日

The Board of Peace Plan for Gaza

The Middle East Program in Washington combines in-depth regional knowledge with incisive comparative analysis to provide deeply informed recommendations. With expertise in the Gulf, North Africa, Iran, and Israel/Palestine, we examine crosscutting themes of political, economic, and social change in

7月30日

Unlocking India's Urban Dividend

Global LocationsResearchEmissaryAboutExpertsMoreDemocracyIranTopics & RegionsDonateAerial view of buildings in South Mumbai close to Arabian sea (Photo by Ashish Vaishnav/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

7月30日

What Do the Hacked Messages of 'Putin's Goddaughter' Ksenia Sobchak Reveal About Russian Politics?

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7月30日

Letter from the Editor: Europe Takes Two Steps Forward But One Step Back

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7月30日

Inside Putin's War Recruitment Machine

Global LocationsResearchPolitikaAboutMoreTopics & RegionsDonateEnglishPodcast EpisodeCarnegie PolitikaInside Putin’s War Recruitment MachinePodcast host Alex Gabuev is joined by Janis Kluge, deputy head of the Eastern Europe and Eurasia research team at the German Institute for International and

7月29日

Imagining Ukraine's Political System After the War

Even if the terms of a ceasefire or peace settlement are satisfactory to most Ukrainians, the country’s democracy will face its fair share of challenges.

7月29日

Assessing Information Ecosystems: How Governments Can Get Ahead of Hybrid Threats

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7月28日

Will the U.S.-DRC Strategic Partnership Agreement Endanger U.S. Interests in the DRC?

President Tshisekedi is implicating Washington in his pursuit of a third term. Staying silent may prove detrimental to the United States in the long run.

7月28日

The Hormuz Conflict and the Limits of Renminbi Internationalization

Potential Strait of Hormuz transit “fees” and Iran’s renminbi use are bringing attention to Beijing’s push to become a “financial power,” particularly in energy markets. Underdeveloped aspects of China’s financial system and its dollar dependencies still constrain the renminbi’s geoeconomic signific

7月28日

Russia Is Not Even a Contender in the Global AI Race

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7月28日

Taking the Pulse: Are the EU's Watered-Down Russia Sanctions Better than None?

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7月27日

Russia Is Approaching a Political Crossroads

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7月24日

Control Above Reform: What's Behind Ukraine's Government and Security Reshuffle?

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7月23日

Negotiating an Age of Conquest: Converting American Power Into Durable Political Outcomes

There is a deeply rooted assumption in post–Cold War American statecraft that overwhelming military and economic power translates directly into favorable political outcomes. But force alone is rarely enough. To meet the challenges of the mid-21st century, Washington needs a cultural shift toward a m

7月23日

The Alternative für Deutschland and Germany's Unsettled Place in the World

Unresolved tensions within the AfD may ultimately constrain the its potential as a leader among European and global populist forces.

7月23日

A Competitive Analysis of the Biomanufacturing Strategic Landscape and Technology Stack

Biomanufacturing—the ability to deploy biotechnology for manufacturing—is rapidly emerging as a global economic and national security priority.

7月23日

India's Stake in the Global Subsea Cable Race

Carnegie IndiaIndia’s Stake in the Global Subsea Cable RaceThe Indian Ocean Region hosts one of the densest concentrations of subsea cables in the world. Yet, despite accounting for a significant share of global internet traffic, India’s participation remains limited.

7月23日

A Path Forward on AI Safety for the United States and China

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7月23日

What We Know About the U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Deal

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7月23日

Burnham Has a Narrow Window to Shape UK AI Policy

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7月23日

Why Europe Must Take Charge of its Russia Diplomacy Now

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7月22日

Where Are President Tokayev's Political Reforms Leading Kazakhstan?

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7月21日

Is AI as Bad for the Environment as Everyone Thinks?

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7月21日

Building Mini-Refineries Will Not Solve Russia's Gasoline Crisis

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7月21日

Why Russia Could Escalate Hybrid Warfare Against Europe

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7月17日

Data Centers Are Fine, Actually

Global LocationsResearchEmissaryAboutExpertsMoreDemocracyIranTopics & RegionsDonatePodcast EpisodeData Centers Are Fine, Actually The missing context that shows how AI isn’t the resource hog everyone thinks it is – with Andy Masley.

美国外交关系协会35 篇

7月31日

The Latest in U.S.-China AI Competition

CFR President Michael Froman and CFR Senior Fellow Chris McGuire discuss recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI), including Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model, and how the United States could maintain its technological advantage.

7月31日

Will Iran Turn Into a Forever War?

Ray Takeyh’s areas of specialization are Iran, U.S. foreign policy, and the modern Middle East. He is, most recently, the author ofThe Last Shah: America, Iran and the Fall of the Pahlavi Dynasty.

7月31日

India’s Cockroach Party Protests Have a Powerful Precedent—and It Isn’t the Arab Spring

Global media have likened India’s Cockroach Janta Party movement to the Arab Spring and to the uprisings that toppled governments in Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. A more instructive comparison is India’s own protest wave of the mid-1970s—and the political reckoning it produced for former Prime Mi

7月30日

Council of Councils Fourteenth Virtual Conference

ShareOn July 22, 2026, The Council on Foreign Relations hosted the Council of Councils Fourteenth Virtual Conference. The conference convened the session, How the Fallout from the Iran Conflict Is Influencing Foreign and Economic Policy Choices in Asia.

7月30日

Washington’s Growing Portfolio: Tracking U.S. Government Investments

CFR’s U.S. Government Deal Tracker shows how the government is experimenting with new tools and financing structures to advance a range of strategic sectors, including critical minerals, energy, global logistics, manufacturing, telecommunications, and other technologies.

7月30日

The 1916 Black Tom Explosion in Jersey City

History is filled with “what ifs?” We usually ask that question about world famous historical events. How would history have changed if Julius Caesar had avoided assassination? If Napoleon had decided not to invade Russia? Or if Adolf Hitler had been killed rather than merely wounded during World Wa

7月30日

CFR Surveyed 350 Experts About AI’s Future. Here Are the Takeaways.

CFR asked experts to predict how artificial intelligence (AI) and governance will affect the global order in 2035. Almost all agreed that governments are failing to keep pace with AI, the future of frontier AI capabilities is highly uncertain, and AI labs are already gaining power relative to the pu

7月30日

How Experts Think AI Will Change the Global Balance of Power by 2035

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) means policymakers need to navigate a future defined by technological uncertainty. To help them do so, CFR asked foreign policy experts to predict how frontier AI capabilities and the governance structures that could emerge around them will affect the global

7月30日

The Shareholder State: Washington’s Improvised Bet on Critical Minerals

The United States needs to use equity strategically, as part of a broader architecture designed to build commercially sustainable supply chains that serve national security interests while keeping markets free but not defenseless.

7月29日

How I Got My Career in Foreign Policy: Andrea R. Flores

Andrea Flores has spent more than fifteen years working on immigration policy, including at DHS, the White House, and the ACLU. She spoke with CFR about how her 360-degree perspective has shaped her understanding of the issue and the challenges of advancing immigration reform.

7月29日

AI’s Economic Winners

The race for AI dominance often focuses on the United States and China, but other countries are key players—and winning depends on many factors.

7月28日

The Saudi Nuclear Deal Would Set a Dangerous New Proliferation Precedent

The recently announced agreement between the U.S. and Saudi governments to develop civilian nuclear energy has aroused concerns that the decades-old approach to sharing this technology has been upended.

7月27日

Trump Administration’s Dealing in Companies Is on Shaky Ground

Intel’s shareholders are doing what Congress seems unable to do: push back on the administration’s interpretation of the law to justify grabbing ownership in companies.

7月27日

As Zelenskyy Meets Trump, Ukraine’s Political Crisis Reveals a Silver Lining

Zelenskyy arrives in Washington carrying a political crisis of his own making, after the ouster of his popular defense minister triggered protests across Ukraine. But by forcing him to answer for it, Ukraine’s civil society has once again demonstrated the strength of Ukraine‘s democracy.

7月27日

China Now Outranks the United States in Global Favorability. What Happened?

For the first time in nearly two decades, a new Pew Research survey shows China is viewed more favorably than the United States in most countries surveyed—but the findings say more about a decline in U.S. soft power than a Chinese surge.

7月27日

Is China’s Surplus Really Shrinking?

That is a strange argument, as the “real” (price-adjusted) trade surplus is still growing. Net exports have contributed positively to China’s growth in Q1 and Q2.*

7月24日

How Does the Iran War End?

Much of the commentary on the war in Iran has focused on whether the mounting costs of Operation Epic Fury are worth it. The most common question I hear now, though, is how does this all end? The choice now before President Donald Trump may be to pick between the lesser of three unattractive options

7月23日

The U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Deal Set Off Tremors. Is It Still Alive?

The announcement of a U.S. deal to provide Saudi Arabia with nuclear technology has raised alarm about proliferation, especially in Israel. The Trump administration’s swift move to add conditions puts it in limbo.

7月23日

Why China Isn’t Pushing Its Cleantech Advantage in the Hormuz Crisis

China might have taken greater advantage of the Strait of Hormuz closure to accelerate clean energy exports, but other exports led Beijing to moderate oil price rises.

7月23日

How Does Public Opinion Affect Foreign Policy? It’s Complicated

Public sentiment is something decision-makers must contend with, especially in democratic states. However, the extent to which public opinion shapes foreign policy varies. Three Council of Councils experts in France, India, and Nigeria reflect on how public opinion does—and sometimes does not—affect

CFRCFR

7月23日

A New Series of CFR Playbooks Outlines How U.S. Policymakers Can Navigate Foreign Policy Crisis Scenarios

In a new collection of reports from theWachenheim Center for Peace and Securityat the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), authorsPeter J. Quaranto,Cecily Brewer,F. David Diaz, andJason Ladnierprovide expert recommendations for how to respond to common contingency types. The Crisis Response Playbooks

7月23日

The U.S. Is About to Design an AI Regulator. Here’s How to Get It Right.

The AI industry and the administration could soon converge on a FINRA-style regulator for frontier AI. Its ultimate viability and effectiveness will be decided by design choices being made right now.

7月23日

American Crisis Management for a New Era

The United States lacks a rigorous, routinized approach to managing foreign policy crises. The Wachenheim Center for Peace and Security has developed a set of Crisis Response Playbooks and a Crisis Management Checklist to serve as quick-reference guides for policy planners during the immediate pre-c

7月23日

Conflict-Driven Chokepoint Disruptions

When armed conflict disrupts one of the world’s most critical maritime trade routes, the United States needs to decide how to respond to protect its security and global economic interests. Whether Washington elects to monitor, contain, or escalate the situation, employing economic and military coerc

7月23日

Gray Zone Attacks Against U.S. Allies and Partners

Responding quickly and effectively to hybrid warfare attacks against U.S. allies and partners is a growing challenge for policymakers. When an aggressor designs an attack to deliberately obscure their identity and avoid triggering a full-scale military response, choosing an approach, as well as secu

7月23日

Coups and Other Irregular Leadership Changes

When a coup, leadership succession battle, or other irregular transfer of power occurs abroad, U.S. policymakers have little time to formulate, communicate, and execute a response strategy. Preserving and promoting U.S. interests—whether countering terrorism, checking adversaries such as Iran and Ru

7月23日

Most modern conflicts involve armed insurgent groups. Insurgency-related conflicts often start without warning and can last over a decade, making the pre-crisis and early crisis phases crucial for U.S. policymakers seeking to protect U.S. personnel and assets and to prevent national security threats

7月22日

How I Got My Career in Foreign Policy: Stephanie Psaki

Stephanie Psaki has always believed that health is at the heart of every stage of life. She sat down with CFR to talk about her far-reaching career in international research, nonprofits, and the government, as well as her views on the current state of the public health space.

7月21日

To Base or Not to Base: The Iran War Exposes Flaws of U.S. Basing in the Middle East

U.S. military installations across the Gulf sit within easy range of Iranian missiles, a legacy of basing decisions made when U.S. forces faced far less capable adversaries. As the war exposes that vulnerability, a case is building to reposition U.S. forces farther from Iran’s reach.

7月20日

Another Hormuz? What to Know About the Houthi Threat to the Red Sea

The Yemen-based Houthis’ decision to impose a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia opens a new front in the U.S.-Iran war and threatens to choke off the Red Sea’s Bab el-Mandeb Strait, with potentially major consequences for the global economy.

7月20日

Five Takeaways from the 2026 Hamburg Sustainability Conference

This is a limited excerpt from the Climate Realism Initiative Newsletter.Sign up to receive monthly insightsfrom the initiative’s fellows and staff, including articles, videos, podcasts, events, and more.

7月20日

Europe Has to Take on China to Save Free Trade

The US and the European Union have been on a trade agreement tear, competing to define the future global trading system. The EU looks to backstop the more established rules of the road; the US, to muscle bilateral commercial balances in its favor. Each has lessons for the other: The US would do well

7月20日

The UK Has Its Seventh Prime Minister in a Decade. What Happened to the Others?

Andy Burnham will be the United Kingdom’s seventh prime minister in a decade. Here’s a rundown of the country’s previous six leaders and why they left office.

7月20日

Andy Burnham: What to Expect From the UK’s New Prime Minister

As Britain’s seventh prime minister in a decade, Andy Burnham enters Downing Street with a “Manchesterism” agenda of devolution and reindustrialization—and a cooler disposition toward Washington than his predecessor.

7月17日

Trump’s New Tariffs: What to Know

In February, when the Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s sweeping global tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), some celebrated the decision as a check on the president’s penchant for tariffs. Such celebrations were premature at best.

Chatham HouseChatham House

英国皇家国际事务研究所19 篇

2月20日

If Ukraine is winning the war, why did Zelenskyy fire his defence minister?

In this week’s episode of Independent Thinking, our experts discuss what President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s reshuffle means for Ukraine’s war strategy.

6月5日

The Ceuta border crisis heaps pressure on Spain’s Sánchez government – and European unity

A surge of tens of thousands of migrants into Spain’s North African enclave strains relations with Morocco and EU members like Italy. It could seriously undermine the prime minister’s position.

5月15日

Europe’s summer of fires: Burnham must centre climate adaptation in policies

The UK government should treat adaptation to the effects of climate change as a core organizing principle of both economic policy at home and foreign policy.

7月28日

Ukraine’s allies should make an offer to Russians before September’s ‘elections’

Russia’s parliamentary election result will be what the Kremlin wishes it to be. But it is an opportunity for Europe to communicate with a population that is feeling the effects of Putin’s war.

6月11日

Has the ‘Cockroach’ movement changed Indian politics?

The movement has tapped into dissatisfaction with employment opportunities and the economy. But it does not threaten a Gen Z revolution of the kind India’s neighbours have undergone.

12月4日

North Korea’s ‘Victory Day’ takes place with Kim Jong Un’s power transformed

Pyongyang’s account of the Korean War remains a fabrication. But its rapidly growing strategic leverage is dangerously real.

7月30日

Will Ukraine’s Wildberries attacks force Putin to the negotiating table?

Drone attacks strike at the bargain between Russia’s state and business. But Russia’s business elites seem more dependent on the Kremlin than ever.

6月9日

Ukraine needs help against Russian missiles now. What more can allies do?

Recent air defence pledges won’t deliver interceptors for years. Europe could help now by providing fighter cover, or by delivering more offensive weapons. Will it act?

1月30日

Turkey’s S-400 saga shows the hard realities of defence procurement

The country’s purchase of Russian air defences has prevented it from acquiring US F-35 fighter jets. The UAE could face similar issues if it purchases the systems.

Chatham HouseChatham House

3月13日

The Houthi Red Sea blockade: Will collective maritime security be defended, or break down?

The risk is a prolonged crisis, followed by a breakdown in maritime security cooperation and a widening conflict. But Houthi actions could be addressed by strengthening existing multinational efforts.

12月1日

What the UK should learn from Kimi K3, WAICO and the Hugging Face incident

Washington and Beijing spent the week arguing about whose models we should use. But the week’s most important news was about what a model did.

Chatham HouseChatham House

6月12日

Can Andy Burnham remake Britain at home and abroad?

In this week’s episode of Independent Thinking, our experts discuss Andy Burnham’s first week in office as prime minister of the United Kingdom and the challenges that await him

5月15日

Why Burnham should back Britain's new clean energy system, not more North Sea drilling

Renewables and electrification could help the new prime minister deliver on his promise to distribute economic benefits across the UK.

5月14日

The water footprints of global textiles trade

7月31日

Director of Environment and Society Centre gives evidence to UK Parliament Energy Committee

Ana Yang gave evidence to the UK Parliament’s Energy Security and Net Zero Committee on 8 July, discussing the UK’s role in international climate policy.

7月1日

Israel’s general election will be like no other before

Netanyahu’s government has presided over unprecedented failure and polarization. Yet the opposition still struggles to articulate a genuine alternative.

1月14日

Can the world benefit from China’s quest for food security?

China wants to become more self-sufficient in food. This could make it easier to fight climate change and improve nutrition worldwide, but there are also risks to global food markets.

7月28日

How the dismissal of Ukraine’s popular defence minister backfired for Zelenskyy

The dismissal of Mykhailo Fedorov – the man behind Ukraine’s successful drone campaign against Russia – has sparked protests across Ukraine and turned into a political crisis for Zelenskyy.

3月6日

How Burnham should engage with Africa

The new prime minister can achieve significant results in Africa if he sets clear ambitions, strengthens the UK’s partnerships and implements a more joined-up approach.

兰德公司29 篇

7月17日

The Texas Abortion Ban and Maternal Mental Health

ResearchPosted on rand.org Jul 17, 2026Published in: JAMA Network Open, Volume 9, No. 6, e2619396 (June 2026). DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2026.19396

7月20日

Examining the Impact of Senate Bill 1160 on Utilization Review and Medical Treatment in California Workers' Compensation

The authors examined the impact of Senate Bill (SB) 1160 on utilization review (UR) processes and medical treatment in California’s workers’ compensation system. SB 1160 reduced UR requirements for some treatments during the first 30 days after a work-related injury for injuries occurring on or afte

7月20日

Living with Wet Basements: Experiences, Barriers, and Solutions in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Basement wetness is a chronic and under-addressed problem in Pittsburgh, particularly in older urban neighborhoods, and the impacts are most acute in predominantly Black, low-income areas. This report presents findings from a study conducted to document the prevalence of and experiences with basemen

7月20日

Securing AI Algorithmic Insights

In this report, the authors extend a framework to provide the first systematic roadmap for protectingalgorithmic insights, the novel techniques, methods, and design know-how that materially improve artificial intelligence (AI) systems, which are among the most strategically valuable assets in the AI

7月20日

Restricting AI Agent Use of Biological Tools: Exploring the Feasibility of Software Barriers

Artificial intelligence (AI) agents can help non-experts use advanced biological design tools, raising misuse concerns. The authors investigate whether safeguards can be built into these tools to block such assistance. They find that these safeguards are ineffective against today’s AI agents, largel

7月20日

An Economic Analysis of Midstream Manufacturing in the EU Defence and Aerospace Sectors and Opportunities for a More Circular Economy in the UK

Theresa Reichstadt,Priyanka Cardoz,Dan Whittaker,Marguerite Chitty,Gabriella Franchi,Charlotte Taylor,Andrew Gibson,Adam Urwick,Louis Gray

7月20日

Basement Wetness, Indoor Environmental Hazards, and Health in Climate-Vulnerable Urban Communities

Linnea Warren May,Jemima E. Ohwobete,Daniel J. Bain,Sarah-Jane Haig,Robin L. Beckman,La'Vette Wagner,Alyssa Lyon,Walter Lewis,Tamara Dubowitz

7月20日

ResearchPosted on rand.org Jul 20, 2026Published in: Journal of the American Medical Directors Association, Volume 27, Issue 8, 106343 (August 2026). DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2026.106343

7月20日

Glenn Wagner,Laura M. Bogart,Stephen Okoboi,Violet Gwokyalya,Harold D. Green,David J. Klein,Susan Ninsiima,Joseph K. Matovu

7月21日

The Men and Women of Project Firestar-How the United States Developed the Labor Force to Colonize Titan

The year is 2050. A fictional RAND analyst reflects back on how the United States built the labor force it needed to establish an independent human colony on Saturn’s largest moon—outshining a manned mission by the People’s Republic of China two decades earlier (in 2030) and demonstrating that no te

7月21日

China's Strategic Petroleum Reserve as a Geoeconomic Tool: A 'What If' Exercise

Chinese policy around the use of their SPR as a geoeconomic tool, particularly in crisis scenarios, is not well understood. Although China has built its SPR for resilience, the size of the SPR compared to other global oil reserves could give China leverage to use it in a more strategic way. This pro

7月22日

Ukraine's Winning Strategy Against Russia: Attrition

That statement may come as a surprise. Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022 the assumption has been that attrition warfare in the conflict wouldundoubtedly favorRussia. Russia hasa population three times as great, and President Vladimir Putin—and Russian society more widely—have demonstrate

7月22日

Effects of Exposure to Active Minds' Send Silence Packing Exhibit on College Students' Mental Health Help-Seeking Intentions

ResearchPosted on rand.org Jul 22, 2026Published in: Journal of American College Health (2026). DOI: 10.1080/07448481.2026.2701384

7月23日

Safeguarding the Future in the AI Era: Q&A with Sella Nevo

Sella Nevo spent years pushing the boundaries of artificial intelligence to save and improve human lives. His focus now is on developing policies to promote the safe and effective use of AI and biotechnology. His mandate at RAND: to help ensure the most pivotal technologies of our time benefit human

7月23日

Federal Spending Mapping Tools

Carter C. Price,Katherine Obenschain,Aaron Strong,Ashley Dancer,Kami Ehrich,James Fan,Joshua Klarich,Hsin Sheng Ma,Akshaya Suresh,Madison Williams, et al.

7月23日

Sustaining Agile Operations: Volume 2, Energy and Water Technology Survey

This report assesses emerging energy and water technologies that could enhance the U.S. Air Force’s ability to sustain agile combat operations in contested environments. It evaluates developments in portable power generation, storage, and purification—from airborne wind turbines to atmospheric water

7月24日

Can Near Beers and Mocktails Help Young People Quit Alcohol?

Samuel Mann always kept a few bottles of nonalcoholic beer behind the counter of a bar he once managed. They didn’t look good, and they didn’t taste much better. Hardly anyone ever asked for one.

7月24日

Europe Could Help Get Ukraine and Russia to the Negotiating Table

Ukrainian soldiers write messages to Russians on an FP-1 deep-strike drone before it launches for a combat mission in an undisclosed location in Ukraine, July 2026

7月24日

Is Summer the New Winter? It Might Be for European Health Systems

Ambulances are queuing. Patients are sitting for hours in overcrowded waiting rooms. Others, who have been lucky enough to have had an initial assessment, are lying on trolleys along corridors wondering when a doctor will see them. Scores of elective procedures are cancelled. The intercom system is

7月27日

Managed Disorder: The Hard Road to a Modest Peace with Russia After Ukraine

The war in Ukraine will eventually end, but probably in a ceasefire that leaves Russia, Europe and America locked in open-ended, low-grade, chaotic confrontation. Europe has the greatest stake. It is closest to the conflict and would carry much of the cost should it escalate. America will still have

7月27日

Total War on Taipei: China Explores Elevating Cognitive Effects Into Its Vision of Warfare

In March 2025, China’s military researchers published a concept describing how to rapidly capture and subdue the city of Taipei. Distributed in restricted military channels, this approach argues Beijing can achieve victory “by blocking the city’s ability to receive external assistance, restricting i

7月28日

Veterans' Participation in Public Programs: Comprehensive Cross-Survey Comparisons with Nonveterans and the Role of VA Disability Compensation

Researchers have struggled to explain why veterans participate in many public assistance programs at lower rates than nonveterans. The authors of this report detail an approach to answering this question that enables researchers to consistently estimate program participation differences across veter

7月29日

HMP Liverpool Major Refurbishment Project: Process Evaluation and Economic Review

Refurbishment works at HMP Liverpool have, to date, entailed fully refurbishing 429 cells across three wings. This included bringing cells back into use and converting some double cells into single occupancy cells; enhancing the cleanliness, brightness and sanitation of the wings; improving security

7月30日

China's Position on the Emerging Russia-North Korea Military Cooperation and Its Implications for the U.S.-ROK Alliance

China is watching carefully as Russia and North Korea deepen their military ties. In this report, the authors argue that Beijing benefits indirectly from the partnership’s pressure on the United States but avoids overt involvement to protect China’s global standing and room for maneuver. The authors

7月30日

A Structured Approach to Identifying and Characterizing AI Vulnerabilities

RAND researchers present a structured framework for identifying and characterizing security weaknesses in generative artificial intelligence (AI) systems. They identify 31 distinct classes of AI vulnerabilities and offer practical mitigation strategies. By reframing AI security around structural wea

7月30日

Examining the Implementation and Impact of Pediatric ACE Screening: Results from a Cohort of California Clinics

The authors assessed models of care developed by clinics to integrate Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACE) education, screening, and response, and present evidence of the effects of pediatric ACE screening on health care utilization and quality. Findings support continued efforts to strengthen and su

7月30日

Trends in Perception of Generative AI in Healthcare by US Adult Demographics and Political Identity

ResearchPosted on rand.org Jul 30, 2026Published in: Health Affairs Scholar, Volume 4, Issue 7, qxag148 (July 2026). DOI: 10.1093/haschl/qxag148

7月31日

Principles for Communicating the Risks of Mirror Life

Advances in synthetic biology are expanding scientists’ ability to design biological systems from synthetic components, raising questions about whether some innovations could create risks that outweigh their benefits. One possibility ismirror life—a hypothetical form of life, such as a mirror bacter

7月31日

A U.S. Strategy to Prevent the Creation of Mirror Life

Scientific advances could lead to the creation ofmirror life, a hypothetical form of life composed of molecules with reversed chirality relative to all known life on earth. The authors articulate the challenges of governing the development of mirror life and describe a strategy for the United States

彼得森国际经济研究所14 篇

7月17日

Trump's new tariffs on Brazil reflect the weakness of US trade strategy

The Supreme Court ruling that struck down US tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump under his emergency powers this year set off a scramble by the administration to reinstate tariffs on several countries using different rationales. Brazil is the first test case of this strategy, and it demonstrat

7月17日

Argentina: The challenge and the opportunity

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy through expert analysis and practical policy solutions.

7月19日

India's rupee problem has been misdiagnosed

7月20日

El Niño could drag down the global economy by almost $700 billion or $3 trillion—and the choice is ours

TheUS National Weather Service has announced the arrival of an El Niño, the warm phase the Central Pacific warming and cooling cycle that affects weather across the globe.The odds favor a "very strong" or (more colloquially) Super El Niño. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)is the dominant force

PIIEPIIE

7月20日

Trump's tariff revenue tracker: How much is the US collecting? Which imports are hit?

President Donald Trump’s tariffs are raising government revenues, but how much is the US Treasury actually collecting from US importers after the starts, stops, delays, exclusions, and other factors? And what products and countries are hit? This monthly tracker measures tariff revenues in practice o

7月21日

Trump's new 50 percent tariffs on Canada, and others in train, will likely raise US consumer prices

US households could face sharp price increases for certain alcoholic beverages, dairy products, and other select imports from Canada subject to President Donald Trump's new tariffs.

7月23日

The forced labor case against Brazil is not about forced labor

The latest rationale to justify President Donald Trump's tariffs is the charge that US trading partners are condoning forced labor conditions—not in their own countries but in countries with whom they trade. The United States bans certain imports from China produced by forced labor. In effect, the T

7月23日

Trump's new tariffs over forced labor are unlikely to survive a court challenge

The Trump administration is again shifting its stated rationale for placing comprehensive tariffs on imports of nearly all goods from virtually all countries. After originally presenting such measures as responses to a national emergency and next as remedies for balance-of-payments problems, officia

7月23日

Trump's trade war timeline 2.0: An up-to-date guide

This timeline, originally published February 25, 2025, will be updated to document US trade actions during President Donald Trump's second term in office. For events during his first term, visitthis page. Special thanks to Ashley Singh, Christine Wan, and Jing Yan for contributions. Graphic design a

7月23日

How to buy a trade surplus

7月27日

A new US rule to restrict student visas will hurt the US economy

The Trump administrationissued a final rulein July that gives it discretion to cut short the course of study of most international students at US universities. It will likely use this new power to block many of them from staying to work after they graduate and produce mounting delays for routine ext

7月30日

China's private sector keeps expanding in 2026, while more tech manufacturers climb into the top ranks

The private sector's share of China's 100 largest listed companies by market value continued to grow in 2026, reaching 41 percent by mid-year. Far more striking was the unprecedented turnover in the list: Of the 100 companies, 27 had never appeared in it before.

7月30日

"Optimal tariffs" are far from optimal: Part 1

Advocates of President Donald Trump's tariff policies oftenbasheconomists for ignoring real-world complexities. Yet administration officials happily invoke the abstract theoretical concept of the "optimal tariff" to rationalize their incessant rounds of trade warfare.

7月30日

How did Trump's 2025 trade war affect the decoupling of US-China supply chains?

国际货币基金组织45 篇

Convergence from Above: When Global Catch-Up Reflects Falling Back

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-31/convergence-from-above-when-global-catch-up-refle-578317

Optimal Currency Basket Estimation

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-131.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-03/Optimal-Currency-Basket-Estimation-577305

Commodity Booms, Productivity, and Misallocation: Evidence from Chile

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-31/commodity-booms-productivity-and-misallocation-578232

Financial Market Infrastructures Evolution in a Tokenized Economy: Exploring blockchain implementation options for issuance, central clearing, settlement, and reporting

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-136.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-02/Financial-Market-Infrastructures-Evolution-in-a-Tokenized-Ec-577325

Credit Expansion in the Caucasus and Central Asia

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-137.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-03/Credit-Expansion-in-the-Caucasus-and-Central-Asia-577468

The Coming Great Repression? New Measures and a Century of Evidence

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-31/the-coming-great-repression-new-measures-and-a-ce-578320

Looking for Underlying Structure in WEO Forecasts

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-31/looking-for-underlying-structure-in-weo-forecasts-578363

Resilience by Design: What Role Can Policy Frameworks Play in the Middle East and Central Asia?

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-138.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-03/Resilience-by-Design:-What-Role-Can-Policy-Frameworks-Play-i-576033

Dominant Currency Pricing and Currency Risk Premia

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-31/dominant-currency-pricing-and-currency-risk-premia-578314

Sovereign Risk and Natural Disaster Shocks: Unraveling the Domestic Yield Curve Response

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-139.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-03/Sovereign-Risk-and-Natural-Disaster-Shocks:-Unraveling-the-D-577477

Creditors Seniority and Sovereign Risk: Evidence from Debt Composition

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-31/creditors-seniority-and-sovereign-risk-evidence-f-577611

Frontier Markets: Analyzing Drivers of Market Growth and Sovereign Risks

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-140.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-03/Frontier-Markets:-Analyzing-Drivers-of-Market-Growth-and-Sov-577487

Financial Shocks in Currency Markets: Evidence from UIP Premia

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-31/financial-shocks-in-currency-markets-evidence-fro-578296

Pricing Reform Progress: Evidence from Sovereign Spreads and Consensus Forecasts

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-141.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-03/Pricing-Reform-Progress:-Evidence-from-Sovereign-Spreads-and-577482

Settlement Risk and Currency Markets

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-156.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-24/settlement-risk-and-currency-markets-578075

Should Oil Economies Worry About Oil Shocks’ Impact on the Banking System? The Case of Oman

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-142.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-03/Should-Oil-Economies-Worry-About-Oil-Shocks’-Impact-on-the-B-577492

Competition and Productivity in Middle East and Central Asia: What Role Do Tariffs Play?

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-143.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-10/Competition-and-Productivity-in-Middle-East-and-Central-Asia-577636

Industrial Policy and Trade Tensions in Strategic Sectors

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-155.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-24/industrial-policy-and-trade-tensions-in-strategic-578065

Stablecoins and Fragility in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-144.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-10/Stablecoins-and-Fragility-in-Fixed-Exchange-Rate-Regimes-577641

The Generalized Jevons Paradox and the Future of Energy

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-157.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-24/the-generalized-jevons-paradox-and-the-future-of-e-577667

Pumps and Plates: Passthrough of International Fuel and Food

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-148.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/pumps-and-plates-passthrough-of-international-fue-577811

Repo Rate Dynamics: The Role of Dealers, Hedge Funds, and Issuance

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-145.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-10/Repo-Rate-Dynamics:-The-Role-of-Dealers,-Hedge-Funds,-and-Is-577589

Graying Asia: How Aging Is Reshaping Banking

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-150.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/graying-asia-how-aging-is-reshaping-banking-577843

What Drives Crypto Mining? Evidence from Hardware Imports

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-146.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-10/What-Drives-Crypto-Mining?-Evidence-from-Hardware-Imports-577592

Aggregate Gains from AI and Their Distribution: Global Evidence from Usage Data

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-147.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-10/Aggregate-Gains-from-AI-and-Their-Distribution:-Global-Evide-577586

Closing the Gap: A LIC Policy Options Under an Aid Shock

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-151.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/closing-the-gap-a-lic-policy-options-under-an-aid-577846

Pumps and Plates: Passthrough of International Fuel and Food Price Shocks to Domestic Markets

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-148.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-17/Pumps-and-Plates:-Passthrough-of-International-Fuel-and-Food-577811

Tariff Pass-Through and Import Reallocation

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-149.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/tariff-pass-through-and-import-reallocation-577819

Macroeconomic Effects of Rare Earths Supply Chain Disruptions

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/macroeconomic-effects-of-rare-earths-supply-chain-575311

Industrial Policy and Supply Chain Bottlenecks in Commodity Markets

- **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/industrial-policy-and-supply-chain-bottlenecks-in-575308

Closing the Gap: A LIC’s Policy Options Under an Aid Shock

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-151.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-17/Closing-the-Gap:-A-LIC’s-Policy-Options-Under-an-Aid-Shock-577846

The Changing Landscape of Financial Integration in Asia

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-154.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/the-changing-landscape-of-financial-integration-in-577863

Beyond the First Bond: Market Access and Debt Dynamics

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-153.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-17/beyond-the-first-bond-market-access-and-debt-dyna-577858

Taxing Cross-Border Services

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-152.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-17/Taxing-Cross-Border-Services-577853

Beyond the First Bond: Market Access and Debt Dynamics in Frontier Economies

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-153.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-17/Beyond-the-First-Bond:-Market-Access-and-Debt-Dynamics-in-Fr-577858

Competition and Productivity in Middle East and Central Asia

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-143.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-10/competition-and-productivity-in-middle-east-and-ce-577636

The Changing Landscape of Financial Integration in Asia-Pacific

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-154.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2026-07-17/The-Changing-Landscape-of-Financial-Integration-in-Asia-Paci-577863

Repo Rate Dynamics: The Role of Dealers, Hedge Funds

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-145.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-10/repo-rate-dynamics-the-role-of-dealers-hedge-fun-577589

Aggregate Gains from AI and Their Distribution

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-147.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-10/aggregate-gains-from-ai-and-their-distribution-577586

Sovereign Risk and Natural Disaster Shocks

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-139.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-03/sovereign-risk-and-natural-disaster-shocks-577477

Pricing Reform Progress: Evidence from Sovereign Spreads

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-141.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-03/pricing-reform-progress-evidence-from-sovereign-s-577482

Frontier Markets: Analyzing Drivers of Market Growth

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-140.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-03/frontier-markets-analyzing-drivers-of-market-grow-577487

Should Oil Economies Worry About Oil Shocks Impact on Banking

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-142.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-03/should-oil-economies-worry-about-oil-shocks-impact-577492

Resilience by Design: What Role Can Policy Frameworks Play

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-138.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-03/resilience-by-design-what-role-can-policy-framewo-576033

Financial Market Infrastructures Evolution in a Tokenized Economy

- **RePEc URL**: https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2026-136.html - **IMF URL**: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026-07-02/financial-market-infrastructures-evolution-in-a-to-577325

高盛15 篇

7月30日

报告

The Mine-to-Magnet Strategy Is Spurring M&A in Rare Earths

7月30日

报告

How Do Geopolitical Alliances Affect Economic Growth?

7月29日

报告

Balancing the Risks to Portfolios from an Innovation Boom and Inflation

7月29日

视频(Talks at GS)

Arun Gupta on Bringing Silicon Valley's Spirit to Public Service

7月28日

报告(Top of Mind)

IPO Surge: A Red Flag for Markets?

7月28日

播客

What the Surge in IPOs Means for Investors

7月27日

报告

Europe's Consolidated Stock Market Tape Could Invigorate Trading and Boost Investment

7月27日

视频(Talks at GS)

Jon Winkelried on Lessons from Goldman Sachs and TPG's Next Chapter

7月24日

播客

Are Hedge Funds Still Bullish on AI Stocks?

7月23日

报告

Three New Stock Themes Are in Focus as the AI Trade Gyrates

7月21日

播客

US Midyear Outlook: Geopolitical Shocks, the New Fed Era, and Growth

7月21日

报告

What the Capex Boom Means for Stock Investors

7月20日

视频

Emerging-Market Stocks May Climb Higher amid Boost from AI

7月17日

视频(Talks at GS)

Carlos Cordeiro on the Legacy of the FIFA World Cup 2026

7月17日

播客

How Earnings, Volatility, and AI Capex Are Affecting US Markets

德意志银行研究9 篇

德银德银

7月30日

Global events matter, but don't, but do

德银

7月28日

每日图表

Chart of The Day: The gravitational pull of midterms?

德银德银

7月24日

What a "Strong and Rich Japan" could mean

德银

7月23日

Rate Check（第3集，中东局势/油价/债券收益率/ECB/日本政策）

Über diesen Link verlassen Sie die Informationsseiten der Deutsche Bank Gruppe und erreichen die Web-Page eines anderen Anbieters. Die dort eingestellten Informationen sind ohne Mitwirkung der Deutsche Bank Gruppe erstellt worden und unterliegen der ausschließlichen Verantwortung des anderen Anbiete