
智库报告索引 · 2026
8月23日—8月30日
9 家机构,62 篇报告。这一期大部分报告只有英文标题和原文摘录,点标题或图片读原文。本期综述文章:62篇报告、9家智库、5条主线:2026年8月下旬全球智库研究综述
战略与国际研究中心9 篇
CSIS8月27日
The Uncertain Future of Thailand’s Gas Sector
The IssueSince the 1980s, Thailand’s economic and industrial growth has been driven by access to low-cost, domestic natural gas supplies. After peaking in the early 2010s, Thailand’s domestic gas resources are now in decline. As a result, liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports are rising and are bringi
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CSIS8月27日
Takaichi’s Approval Shield: Prospects for Her Second Year in Office
Since Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi led the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) to a two-thirds majority in Japan’s Lower House election six months ago, she has faced challenges from within her party and the ruling coalition as she has tackled an ambitious and sometimes divisive legislative agenda. Howev
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CSIS8月27日
Lessons from Covid-19 for Global Health Security
The Covid-19 pandemic provided a significant real-world test of competing approaches to health access. During the pandemic, intellectual property (IP) was often targeted as a barrier to vaccines and treatments, though the most significant barriers to access most often stemmed from resource constrain
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CSIS8月27日
Taiwan and the Pacific
The Indo-Pacific is facing an increasingly complex set of challenges. Intensified strategic tensions, geopolitical uncertainty, and the reconfiguration of economic order are reshaping the security and prosperity of countries across the region. At the center of these dynamics is Taiwan. The implicati
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CSIS8月26日
Pakistan’s LNG Imports Under Pressure: Impacts of the Strait of Hormuz’s Closure and Pakistan’s Diplomatic Response
The Strait of Hormuz and Qatar’s Ras Laffan liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facility have been effectively shut for over five months due to the war between the United States and Iran, impacting 20 percent of the world’s LNG supply. Pakistan is one of the Asian buyers most impacted to Middle Easte
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CSIS8月26日
Not a TACO Moment
The big news last week was the latest act in the U.S.-Canada trade drama. (The smaller news was Trump’s easing of import restrictions on ground beef, to the irritation of ranchers, which was an implicit acknowledgement that tariffs actually do raise consumer prices.) The latest act of the Canadian d
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CSIS8月27日
A New Organizational Paradigm for Economic Statecraft at the U.S. State Department
The Imperative for Economic StatecraftGlobal economic competition has been intensifying for at least a decade, and the dominance the United States once took for granted is eroding. Whether it be disputes over tariffs and global trade, rivalry with China and the rise of developing and emerging econom
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CSIS8月26日
Missed Opportunity: Critical Minerals and the U.S.-Vietnam Comprehensive Strategic Partnership
In September 2023, President Joe Biden traveled to Hanoi and met the late General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, marking the 10th anniversary of the U.S.-Vietnam comprehensive partnership. The two leaders surprised observers by skipping the intermediate “strategic partnership” tier altogether and eleva
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CSIS8月26日
States Weekly: August 26, 2026
Big News: Assam unveils a Hydrocarbon Exploration, Production and Upstream Ecosystem Development Policy, 2026; Maharashtra amends the Maharashtra Government Rules of Business; Andhra Pradesh passes Andhra Pradesh Municipal Laws (Fourth Amendment) Bill 2026; Karnataka passes the Karnataka Municipal C
读原文 ↗卡内基国际和平基金会9 篇
卡内基8月25日
Ahead of the Deal: How the United States Can Build an Energy Project Pipeline in Emerging Markets
In an era of otherwise deep political division, U.S. government support for electricity infrastructure overseas remains a bright spot of consistent bipartisan consensus. This rare cross-partisan alignment should present huge opportunities for the United States to lead on advancing energy infrastruct
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卡内基8月27日
The Achilles’ Heel of the Shield of the Americas
DemocracyIranTopics & RegionsMilitary personnel participate in multinational exercises to safeguard the Panama Canal on August 9, 2026 in Panama City, Panama. (Photo by Daniel Gonzalez/Anadolu via Getty Images)
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卡内基8月26日
The Iran War Has Sparked a Domestic Crisis in Kenya
DemocracyIranTopics & RegionsTransit workers pass the time amid a nationwide strike over fuel price hikes in Nairobi on May 19, 2026. (Photo by Simon Maina/AFP via Getty Images)
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卡内基8月27日
Fedorov’s Challenge to Zelensky Could Upend Ukrainian Politics
Carnegie Politika is a digital publication that features unmatched analysis and insight on Russia, Ukraine and the wider region. For nearly a decade, Carnegie Politika has published contributions from members of Carnegie’s global network of scholars and well-known outside contributors and has helped
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卡内基8月27日
Why MAGA’s Far-Right European Ties Will Endure
Strategic EuropeWhy MAGA’s Far-Right European Ties Will EndureIn supporting Europe’s far-right, MAGA and Russia both want the same thing: a weaker EU. Europe must defend itself without abandoning the ness these forces exploit.
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卡内基8月27日
A Halting Turn: India’s Military Transformation
Carnegie IndiaA Halting Turn: India’s Military TransformationIn any defense establishment, change is an ongoing process. However, despite the best of intentions, existing bureaucracies, bound by habit and years of socialization, have their limits in implementing transformative change.
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卡内基8月26日
Kremlin’s Wartime Censorship Could Prove Fatal for Russia’s Beleaguered Book Industry
Political pressure and economic headwinds are ly intertwined problems for Russian publishers and booksellers. Together, they risk propelling Russia into a “post-literate” era.
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卡内基8月25日
Who Paid for China’s Last Debt Cleanup, and Who Will Pay for the Next?
China Financial MarketsWho Paid for China’s Last Debt Cleanup, and Who Will Pay for the Next?China’s banking crisis in the 2000s was resolved by transferring the costs to households through financial repression—a decision that recapitalized the banks while exacerbating the structural imbalances that
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卡内基8月24日
A Nuclear Odyssey at Sea
Emissary harnesses Carnegie’s global scholarship to deliver incisive, nuanced analysis on the most pressing international affairs challenges.
读原文 ↗美国外交关系协会14 篇
CFR8月24日
Birthright Citizenship in the United States: What to Know
The Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s first attempt to end birthright citizenship—which guarantees U.S. citizenship to almost anyone born on U.S. soil—in June 2026. In August, Trump signed two executive orders testing a narrower path around the ruling as part of a broader crackdown
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CFR8月28日
Crude Calculations: Why the Iran War Hasn’t Yet Caused an Oil Shock
The Iran war has triggered the largest oil supply disruption in market history yet barely dented global growth after six months of conflict. Strategic reserves and shale get the credit, but the unexpected cushion is the fuel everyone forgets—demand itself.
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CFR8月26日
Global Trade Tracker
The map below compiles trade data from 214 countries as reported to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It displays values for each country’s trade in tangible goods and, for countries reporting the necessary data to the IMF, it also shows the value on their current accounts (that is, adding in s
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CFR8月27日
The Iran War at Six Months: A Region—and Its Relationship With the U.S.—Transformed
The U.S. war with Iran has raised new questions about the United States’ role in the Middle East, the balance of power in the region, and whether U.S. actions will fuel extremism.
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CFR8月26日
Six Months of War With Iran
COOK:In general, we agree that the end of the American order in the region is upon us, and I think it’s a function of the fact that the president went to war based on a feeling.
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CFR8月27日
The Real Cost of the U.S.-Canada Trade Breakdown
Canada is the first U.S. ally to absorb tariff pain rather than settle. CFR’s Brad W. Setser explains what the breakdown costs both economies—and why other countries are likely watching the fallout closely.
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CFR8月26日
AI Companies Are Piling on Debt. Could It Trigger the Next Financial Crisis?
The financing behind the AI boom has grown so large that Treasury bond yields are approaching levels not seen since the lead-up to the 2008 financial crisis. But is the risk to the financial market overblown?
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CFR8月27日
The 1928 Kellogg-Briand Pact to Outlaw War
Twenty-one Americans have been awarded theNobel Peace Prize. Some of those winners are well-known historical figures: Theodore Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, Henry Kissinger, Jimmy Carter, and Barack Obama, to name the most obvious. Other winners were famous in their day but are only remembered now by t
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CFR8月26日
Six Months Into the Iran War, the United States Has No Good Options
Operation Epic Fury failed to produce the quick victory that President Donald Trump predicted and may be remaking the political order in the Middle East.
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CFR8月25日
Why NATO and the Transatlantic Bond Will Outlast Trump
Trump’s threats and hectoring have rattled Europe, but growing defense budgets and lasting mutual interests mean the alliance is more likely to endure than to collapse.
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CFR8月24日
The 1963 State Department Cable Authorizing the Overthrow of Ngo Dinh Diem
The Kennedy administration’s decision to seek the ouster of South Vietnam’s president intensified the country’s political instability and deepened the U.S. involvement in what became the Vietnam War.
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CFR8月24日
The #EndSARS Generation Comes of Age
Its operational base may be as ebullient as ever, but members of the #EndSARS generation have been pulled in different directions.
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CFR8月24日
The 1814 British Sack of Washington
August can be a tough month in Washington, DC. Temperatures can top one hundred degrees Fahrenheit, and the humidity can make it feel even hotter. On occasion, a hurricane rolls through with damaging winds and torrential rain. August 2011 even brought a 5.8-magnitude earthquake. But the city’s singl
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CFR8月24日
How to Reshape U.S. Defense Production to Counter China
A new Council on Foreign Relations report finds that long production timelines and supply chain bottlenecks—worsened by munitions stocks depleted in the Iran conflict—mean the United States must enact policy reforms and scale precise mass capabilities to counter China in the next few years. One of t
读原文 ↗英国皇家国际事务研究所4 篇
8月28日
Iran, Gaza, Trump and Netanyahu: Understanding the Middle East’s crises
In this week’s episode of Independent Thinking, our experts discuss the big picture in the Middle East and how the various conflicts are shaping relations in the region.
读原文 ↗8月27日
What the Burnham government should do in its foreign policy
This paper sets out a proposed foreign policy agenda for the government of Andy Burnham, the UK’s new prime minister. Given the extent to which the UK’s fiscal and military resources are stretched, the government must identify a relatively narrow set of priorities and stick to them. These priorities
读原文 ↗8月25日
What Haitians want from the next phase of UN and international support
For the latest international and multilateral intervention in Haiti to serve the population effectively, it is essential to understand what Haitians themselves want from any peace process, and what they think of the country’s current situation and challenges. This paper aims to fill that gap. It pre
读原文 ↗8月25日
Nigeria will need more than a bigger army to tackle security challenges
In July, President Bola Tinubu announced a major expansion of the Nigerian Army, adding four new divisions to its existing eight. Rather than framing it as a long-planned response to Nigeria’s many worsening security challenges, Tinubu indicated that the announcement was a direct response to a mass
读原文 ↗兰德公司12 篇
RAND8月27日
OpenAI Says ChatGPT Is Safer for Teens. Now It Needs to Show Proof.
Last week,OpenAI began rolling out ChatGPT for Teens, a new user experience crafted to help young people “learn, think critically, deepen understanding, and use AI with confidence.” Maybe most importantly, OpenAI vowed that it would place any users its system “estimates” to be under 18 into the syst
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RAND8月25日
Federal Revenue When AI Replaces Labor: An Examination of Economic Scenarios with Highly Capable Artificial Intelligence
In this report, the authors analyze how artificial intelligence (AI) replacing human labor could affect U.S. federal revenue. If displaced workers do not find new jobs, and especially if AI is widely accessible at cost, federal revenue could fall sharply. Corporate profits from AI would not fully of
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RAND8月24日
The Cyclospora Outbreak Was a Warning: Q&A with Saskia Popescu
A parasitic infection linked to tainted lettuce has left thousands of people doubled over in pain this summer. Two people have died. For RAND'sSaskia Popescu, the outbreak has been a reminder—of America's vulnerabilities, and of what it will take to close them.
读原文 ↗8月27日
Hardening Critical Infrastructure Software in an Era of Rapid AI Advancement: An Urgent Call for Coordinated Action
The convergence of aging software infrastructure, accelerating artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities, and the growing dependence of every sector on interconnected digital systems creates acute risk. But the same AI systems that are compressing the offensive timeline can also be turned to defensi
读原文 ↗8月26日
Social Risk-Weighted Scoring to Improve Medicare Advantage Star Ratings
ResearchPosted on rand.org Aug 26, 2026Published in: The American Journal of Managed Care, Volume 32, Issue 8, pages 456-462 (August 2026). DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2026.90001
读原文 ↗8月26日
Trends in Buprenorphine and Methadone Dispensing Among Medicare Advantage and Commercial Enrollees, 2019-2024
Despite the existence of effective medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD), including methadone and buprenorphine, overdose deaths remain high. In 2020, Medicare began covering methadone for the treatment of opioid use disorder (OUD), and separate federal policy changes expanded MOUD access via t
读原文 ↗8月26日
Benefit Design and Consumer Information: Results From a Randomized Trial
ResearchPosted on rand.org Aug 26, 2026Published in: The American Journal of Managed Care, Volume 32, Issue 4, pages 219-225 (April 2026). DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2026.89918
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RAND8月25日
Accelerating New Power Plants Depends on Better Data
America is embarking on a vast build-out of its electric system.Demand, stagnant for years, is climbingas homes and vehicles electrify and data centers multiply. The question is no longer whether the country needs more power. It is whether we can build it quickly enough—and at a price consumers can
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RAND8月25日
Emergency Management Research: Hard to Find, Even More Difficult to Organize
NDEMU has an inherent interest in identifying and synthesizing a body of EM-related research and supporting its translation into practice through education and training. The benefits of a synthesized body of EM research would accrue not just to NDEMU but also to the myriad students from EM practice
读原文 ↗8月25日
Achieving AI Model Weight Security Level 3 (SL3)
RAND researchers propose Security Level 3 (SL3), a standardized framework of 262 security controls adapted from National Institute of Standards and Technology Special Publication 800-53 to protect artificial intelligence model weights against organized cybercrime and insider threats. The controls ad
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RAND8月25日
Evaluating the Case for Solar Panel Recycling Mandates in the United States
Because the volume of end-of-life (EOL) solar photovoltaic (PV) modules is projected to grow rapidly, state and federal policymakers are considering policies to increase the recycling of PV modules (i.e., solar panels). The authors analyze the major rationales for government intervention to increase
读原文 ↗8月24日
Leveraging the Federal Select Agent Program to Oversee Nucleic Acids: Volume 2, Potential Benefits and Burdens, Recommendations, and Implementation Considerations
The increasing availability of synthetic genetic materials poses public health risks that may warrant new approaches to ensuring they are accessible only to legitimate researchers. The authors examine whether certain hazardous genetic materials not currently regulated by the Federal Select Agent Pro
读原文 ↗彼得森国际经济研究所4 篇
PIIE8月26日
Many school supplies cost more under Trump's tariffs
Autumn means back-to-school shopping for many households. This year, consumers face higher prices for many basic supplies because of President Donald Trump's tariffs.
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PIIE8月26日
The China Squeeze: A response to our critics
Our recent PIIEworking paperand the subsequentForeign Affairsarticle detailed how China's manufacturing export strength is curbing poorer countries' opportunities to industrialize—what we call the China Squeeze. Our work has attracted considerable responses, including from theChinese Foreign Ministr
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PIIE8月25日
Trump's trade war timeline 2.0: An up-to-date guide
This timeline, originally published February 25, 2025, will be updated to document US trade actions during President Donald Trump's second term in office. For events during his first term, visitthis page. Special thanks to Ashley Singh, Christine Wan, and Jing Yan for contributions. Graphic design a
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PIIE8月24日
Mary E. Lovely on the costs of Trump’s trade war with Canada
The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy through expert analysis and practical policy solutions.
读原文 ↗国际货币基金组织4 篇
8月21日
Inferring Structural Beliefs from Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from Brazil
I analyze multi-horizon market forecasts for macroeconomic variables in Brazil from 2010 to 2026, using a structural macroeconomic model to interpret stated beliefs as the outcomes of a coherent belief system. This produces time-varying beliefs about policy rules, transmission mechanisms, and struct
读原文 ↗8月21日
Measures of Macroeconomic Shocks and Uncertainty for Asia-Pacific Economies
We develop standardized time-series measures of shocks and uncertainty for output growth and inflation across 14 Asia-Pacific economies using data from Consensus Economics survey of professional economic forecasters. They are based on changes in mean forecasts and standard deviations, adjusted for i
读原文 ↗8月21日
Private Finance and Climate Investment Needs: An Analytical Framework
Achieving climate-related commitments and mitigating related risks to macroeconomic and financial stability require improving the conditions for private investment. Raising sufficient private finance is however challenging, particularly for emerging markets and developing economies. This paper devel
读原文 ↗8月21日
Aging Economies and AI Adoption: Firm-Level Evidence from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys
How do demographic trends shape the adoption of AI and automation technologies? This paper provides the first large-scale cross-country firm-level test of the demographic–automation hypothesis using World Bank Enterprise Surveys data covering 89,380 firms across 144 countries from 2022 to 2025. I cl
读原文 ↗高盛4 篇
高盛8月28日
What Is the Outlook for Diesel and Gasoline Supplies?
We invest the power of Goldman Sachs' financial and intellectual capital to advance enduring economic growth and opportunity.
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高盛8月28日
Gold Is Forecast to Climb as Central Banks Buy the Precious Metal
We invest the power of Goldman Sachs' financial and intellectual capital to advance enduring economic growth and opportunity.
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高盛8月25日
Assessing a Less Transparent Fed
We invest the power of Goldman Sachs' financial and intellectual capital to advance enduring economic growth and opportunity.
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高盛8月24日
Building AI Systems for Capital Markets
We invest the power of Goldman Sachs' financial and intellectual capital to advance enduring economic growth and opportunity.
读原文 ↗德意志银行研究2 篇
8月25日
Jackson Hole, Treasury buybacks, and Korea
der Deutsche Bank Gruppe und erreichen die Web-Page eines anderen Anbieters. Die dort eingestellten Informationen sind ohne Mitwirkung der Deutsche Bank Gruppe erstellt worden und unterliegen der ausschließlichen Verantwortung des anderen Anbieters. Die Deutsche Bank Gruppe übernimmt keinerlei Haftu
读原文 ↗8月26日
China: Modernizing the monetary policy framework
der Deutsche Bank Gruppe und erreichen die Web-Page eines anderen Anbieters. Die dort eingestellten Informationen sind ohne Mitwirkung der Deutsche Bank Gruppe erstellt worden und unterliegen der ausschließlichen Verantwortung des anderen Anbieters. Die Deutsche Bank Gruppe übernimmt keinerlei Haftu
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